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Post-Conventions: Who Will Win the 2012 Presidential Election?

Now that the Democratic and Republican delegates have officially chosen their nominees, Patch wants to know: Who are you betting on?

It's official: With President Barack Obama's acceptance speech in Charlotte Thursday night, both the Republicans and Democrats have formally chosen their nominees for the 2012 presidential election. Let the real race begin.

A lot can change between now and Nov. 6: Gaffes, scandals or even major international news events could shift the dynamics of the campaign.

The latest Gallup Polls show registered voters preferring Obama to Mitt Romney by just one percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. A USA Today/Gallup poll taken just before the party conventions found American voters think Obama is more likeable, but trust Romney more to handle the economy.

Pundits have been busy for months handicapping the major-party candidates on various factors: incumbent advantage, fundraising clout, even religion.

Patch wants to know: Regardless of who you support for president, who do you think will actually claim victory in November?

Vote in our poll below, and let us know your reasoning in the comments.

cc September 22, 2012 at 05:56 PM
nazyh i don't believe anything that you post so who cares if you don't like what Jean Smith post. At least she is using her real name, unlike you hiding under nazyh. We all don't like what others post or agree with them. Guess What, your the one that brought up the race card no one else did and everyone is entitle to speak.
cc September 22, 2012 at 05:57 PM
nazy h then all your comments should be flagged to be removed as they are inappropriate to others.
cc September 22, 2012 at 06:04 PM
where does Jean say that she wants obama shipped back to kenya because his father is black???? would it make a difference if she said Japan, Mexico, Canada, South America, Italy, England, Spain. She did not state to send him back to Kenya because he was black, and do we know for a fact that all of Kenya is black, that there isn't white people living in Kenya "The People of Kenya, Social Issues The social structure that evolved in Kenya during colonial times emphasized race and class. The dominance of whites over blacks was reinforced through segregation of the races and, within the black African population, of the various ethnic groups. Within each ethnic group, status was determined largely by wealth. After Kenya gained independence in 1963, race ceased to be an important indicator of social status, but wealth and ethnic identity remained significant. Today, a number of Kenya’s problems result from disparities in wealth. These problems include pervasive urban and rural poverty, overcrowded and substandard housing in urban areas, and a relatively high rate of unemployment. In the 1990s the country also witnessed periodic clashes between ethnic groups, particularly between Kalenjin and Kikuyu peoples in west central Kenya. Tropical diseases, including malaria, have long been a public health problem in Kenya. http://www.countriesquest.com/africa/kenya/the_people_of_kenya/social_issues.htm
NE12Ukid October 01, 2012 at 11:43 PM
Latest Polls Monday, October 01 General Election: Romney vs. Obama CNN/Opinion Research Obama 50, Romney 47 Obama +3 General Election: Romney vs. Obama ABC News/Wash Post Obama 49, Romney 47 Obama +2 General Election: Romney vs. Obama Politico/GWU/Battleground Obama 49, Romney 47 Obama +2 General Election: Romney vs. Obama Gallup Tracking Obama 49, Romney 45 Obama +4 General Election: Romney vs. Obama Rasmussen Tracking Obama 50, Romney 47 Obama +3 Ohio: Romney vs. Obama PPP (D) Obama 49, Romney 45 Obama +4 Florida: Romney vs. Obama Gravis Marketing Obama 49, Romney 48 Obama +1 Iowa: Romney vs. Obama WeAskAmerica Obama 48, Romney 44 Obama +4 North Carolina: Romney vs. Obama PPP (D) Romney 48, Obama 48 Tie North Carolina: Romney vs. Obama ARG Romney 50, Obama 46 Romney +4 Colorado: Romney vs. Obama WeAskAmerica Obama 49, Romney 46 Obama +3 New Hampshire: Romney vs. Obama WMUR/UNH Obama 54, Romney 39 Obama +15 New Mexico: Romney vs. Obama WeAskAmerica* Obama 51, Romney 41 Obama +10 Michigan: Romney vs. Obama WeAskAmerica Obama 52, Romney 40 Obama +12 Massachusetts: Romney vs. Obama WBUR/MassINC Obama 60, Romney 32 Obama +28
Jon Wain October 02, 2012 at 12:00 AM
hey yins ,let the debates speak for who shall run this country.I have no hope in the republican , lost in space romney and his vice presidentisl hopeful barney fife,think football, do you go wit expeirnce or a rookie.if you choose rookie ,then you don't care about me or anyone in you neighborhood.your all about yourself. don't reply cause you don't matter.

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